THE STAT MAN

Free reference

The Stat Man reference desk

The book's appendices, glossary and data figures, published in full and free to read, quote and cite. This is the lookup layer: the chapters are where the arithmetic is built and argued for.

Appendix A Odds conversion table Fractional, decimal and American odds against implied probability, from 1/100 out to 500/1. Appendix A Overround and margin formulas The booksum, overround and margin formulas, worked through a three-way market that sums to 104.50 per cent. Appendix A Accumulator margin table What an accumulator really costs, by number of legs, at three representative per-leg overrounds. Appendix A Rule 4 deduction bands How much a Rule 4 takes out of your winnings when a runner is withdrawn, by the price that runner was trading at. Appendix A Each-way place terms Standard each-way place terms: how many places pay, and at what fraction of the odds, by runner count and race type. Appendix B Football data sources Six football data sources compared: what each one covers, what it costs, and what its licence actually lets you do. Appendix C Model-building checklist Eleven checkpoints for building a football match model, in the order they have to be done, from data assembly to go or no-go. Appendix D Bet tracking template The fourteen columns worth recording for every bet, and the monthly audit that turns them into an answer. Appendix E The sixty-second toolkit Three tear-out cards: the ten-point price check, the Kelly quick reference, and the safety stack. Glossary Sixty betting and statistics terms Every term the book teaches, defined with worked figures and a pointer to the chapter that builds it. Figures The book's data figures The charts and tables from the printed book, with the numbers underneath each one.

This is reference lifted from the book. The chapters are where the arithmetic gets built and argued for.

Get The Stat Man See all 32 chapters